BTG/Nexus Poll: Lula Leads Flávio Bolsonaro in Brazil’s 2026 Election Runoff

A new BTG/Nexus poll puts Lula on 47% and Flávio Bolsonaro on 44% in Brazil's 2026 presidential runoff, a technical tie that mirrors a separate Quaest survey.

Lula and Bolsonaro’s son launch rival bids for Brazil presidencyNewsFeedBrazil’s presidential race is officially underway with President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva seeking a fourth term and taking on Flavio Bolsonaro, the son of the country’s jailed former president.Published On 17 Aug 2026

SAO PAULO, Aug 17 - Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva holds a tight lead over Senator Flavio Bolsonaro, his main right-wing challenger, in a potential runoff ahead of October's election, a BTG Pactual/Nexus poll showed on Monday.

Brazil's Lula and Flavio Bolsonaro kick off presidential campaigns  reuters.com

Brazil's two leading presidential candidates launched their campaigns for the October 4 elections on Sunday with rallies at the venues associated with their political trajectories. President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva drew more than 10,000 supporters to the Vila Euclides stadium in São Bernardo do Campo, in São Paulo's

President, 80, vows to keep far-right from power as Flávio Bolsonaro tells supporters he will ‘fight this system’ Brazil’s leftwing president, Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, has launched his campaign for a historic fourth term and vowed that as long as he lived he would not allow the “shameless” right to return to power. A

Brazil's presidential candidates have kicked off their campaigns ahead of what is expected to be tight election in October

Brazil's Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro return to their strongholds to kick off presidential campaigns  AP News

Brazil’s Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro kick off their presidential campaigns  Toronto Star

Brazil’s Right Has a New Bolsonaro  wsj.com

Brazil's October presidential election is shaping up as another battle between the Lula and Bolsonaro camps, with incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva seeking a fourth term and Flávio Bolsonaro stepping in for his imprisoned father. The two frontrunners are running close in the polls, as Lula focuses on Brazil's soverei