Brazil Election: Lula Seen as Frontrunner Over Flávio Bolsonaro

A year after his popularity sank to career lows, Lula is a reelection favorite thanks to help from two right-wing nemeses: Donald Trump and Jair Bolsonaro.

Real Time Big Data has Celina Leão and Michelle Bolsonaro leading in Brazil's Federal District, and Paraná Pesquisas puts Tarcísio de Freitas on 50% in São Paulo. The Flávio-over-Lula runoff figure is Brasília-only.

Lula and Bolsonaro’s son launch rival bids for Brazil presidencyNewsFeedBrazil’s presidential race is officially underway with President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva seeking a fourth term and taking on Flavio Bolsonaro, the son of the country’s jailed former president.Published On 17 Aug 2026

President, 80, vows to keep far-right from power as Flávio Bolsonaro tells supporters he will ‘fight this system’ Brazil’s leftwing president, Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, has launched his campaign for a historic fourth term and vowed that as long as he lived he would not allow the “shameless” right to return to power. A

Brazil's October presidential election is shaping up as another battle between the Lula and Bolsonaro camps, with incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva seeking a fourth term and Flávio Bolsonaro stepping in for his imprisoned father. The two frontrunners are running close in the polls, as Lula focuses on Brazil's soverei