The Case Against El-Sayed Doomerism

The Associated Press this morning called the Michigan Senate Democratic primary: Abdul El-Sayed won a much closer than expected victory over Haley Stevens.Let’s get under the hood on the numbers to understand if Democrats are taking a big risk on the youngblood.Start with this: El-Sayed should beat Mike Rogers, the former longtime congressman who is the Republican nominee, because Michigan is a fairly Democratic state.The current governor of Michigan is a Democrat and Democrats have held the governorship for 16 of the last 24 years.1Since 1979, Democrats have held both of Michigan’s Senate seats for the entire period, with the exception of a single Senate term when Spencer Abraham was elected in the 1994 Republican wave.That’s an incredible run.Here are the ten Senate elections since Abrah