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The Conversation
International · 1 hrs ago
72◉ Centre
One Nation’s rise may seem sudden, but it follows long-term voter trends
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Accuracy 72/100
Partisan intensity 35/100
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◉ Centre ✓ Fair headline

One Nation's recent electoral gains in Australia, including surpassing the Liberal Party in polls and winning a House seat, reflect underlying voter trend shifts rather than a sudden political realignment.

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One Nation’s rise may seem sudden, but it follows long-term voter trends
The rise of One Nation may seem sudden. In the 2025 Australian federal election, Pauline Hanson’s party received only 6.4% of the national vote. A year later, One Nation has surpassed the Liberal Party in the polls, received more votes than the Liberals in the South Australian election, and won their first seat in the House of Representatives in the Farrer by-election. Similarly, the movement of independent candidates seemed to emerge rapidly. At the 2019 federal election, independent candidate
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