Texas's population growth of 2.5 million residents since 2020 is reshaping the state's electorate and creating uncertainty in the Senate race between Republican Ken Paxton and Democrat James Talarico, particularly due to declining Latino support for Trump and demographic shifts in exurban counties.

Axios

Texas has gained more than 2.5 million new residents since 2020 — roughly the entire population of New Mexico — reshaping the electorate and injecting new uncertainty into this year's marquee Senate race. 
Why it matters: Republican Ken Paxton is favored to defeat Democrat James Talarico in November, but the influx of new arrivals — along with fading Latino support for President Trump and booming exurban counties — has scrambled the political math in typically red Texas.

By the numbers: Texas a