Axios
US · 2 hrs ago
✦ 75◉ Centre
Bonds worry, while stocks enjoy the "bliss trade"
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Credibility 75/100
Partisan intensity 35/100
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◉ Centre ✓ Fair headline
Stock and bond markets are sending conflicting signals about economic outlook: stocks are rallying on expectations of continued growth (the "bliss trade"), while bonds are pricing in higher inflation and economic concerns.
Bonds worry, while stocks enjoy the "bliss trade"
The stock market and the bond market are telling different stories about the economy: Bonds fear doom, while stocks see boom.
Why it matters: That's a bit confusing for investors and policymakers looking to these markets to make decisions — or for anyone trying to get a read on (waves hands) everything.
The intrigue: Stocks are betting on what former IMF chief economist Gita Gopinath calls the "bliss trade" — a belief that stocks can keep rallying even as bond investors price in more inflation
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