The Conversation
International · 3 hrs ago
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A ‘super El Niño?’ Why it’s too early to forecast one with certainty, but not too soon to prepare
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Scientists discuss the possibility of a 'super El Niño' developing in 2026, noting that while warming signals are present and models suggest extreme conditions, it remains too early to forecast with certainty, though preparation efforts are warranted.
A ‘super El Niño?’ Why it’s too early to forecast one with certainty, but not too soon to prepare
El Niño can mean a rainy U.S. Southwest, warmer winters in the North and less Atlantic hurricane activity – but not always. Bill Tompkins/Getty Images
Talk of a “super El Niño” developing in 2026 is gaining momentum, with concerns rising that this climate pattern could bring extreme rainfall, heat, drought and destructive flooding around the world.
The signals appear to be in place: The tropical Pacific is warming along the equator, and computer models point toward extreme conditions by the end
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